Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 15.991051 18.125400 20.522578 23.430735 26.885160 30.884505 35.904642
2025-09-07 12.987013 15.653137 18.897126 23.190513 28.808481 36.032034 46.228272
2025-09-14 10.917601 13.669945 17.191943 22.124280 29.011151 38.536628 53.177910
2025-09-21 9.406754 12.118485 15.723162 20.996263 28.746212 40.119108 58.893956
2025-09-28 8.411707 11.102784 14.798974 20.416037 29.057501 42.441953 66.068909
2025-10-05 8.518165 11.588891 15.983858 22.997352 34.452300 53.527875 90.481968
2025-10-12 8.144232 11.333925 16.043293 23.846093 37.202832 60.782384 110.145290
2025-10-19 7.461792 10.551646 15.215569 23.155077 37.221327 63.160647 120.798394
2025-10-26 7.187094 10.356563 15.267684 23.904041 39.859583 70.921140 145.397242
2025-11-02 6.726771 9.830892 14.736556 23.579386 40.453975 74.736914 162.161410
2025-11-09 6.302046 9.326854 14.192499 23.161952 40.793933 78.068881 178.883633
2025-11-16 5.956021 8.922914 13.778286 22.927977 41.452736 82.218927 199.391169
2025-11-23 5.557428 8.419791 13.179284 22.334337 41.393010 84.978247 217.959769
2025-11-30 5.252708 8.052881 12.788108 22.098378 42.071517 89.716168 245.185079
2025-12-07 4.861074 7.512104 12.046486 21.095960 40.915082 89.604024 256.284209
2025-12-14 4.495902 6.994789 11.310454 20.033838 39.481315 88.494434 263.555750
2025-12-21 4.235390 6.643206 10.850413 19.487172 39.164920 90.352885 283.234738
2025-12-28 4.392963 7.031664 11.779588 21.917342 46.348591 115.437761 416.997860
2026-01-04 4.324603 7.010855 11.934615 22.715371 49.662674 130.242846 520.227934
2026-01-11 4.091444 6.675960 11.458254 22.065679 49.088726 132.319328 558.516919
2026-01-18 4.026124 6.645778 11.575934 22.769839 52.293510 148.348519 696.361073
2026-01-25 3.856992 6.411987 11.270973 22.464652 52.638252 154.308795 777.417411
2026-02-01 3.690371 6.174190 10.942409 22.072145 52.675320 159.184665 857.855008